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A proposal of regionalization for the application of the CN earthquake prediction algorithm to the Italian territory
Earthquake prediction CN algorithm Italy seismotectonic model
2015/9/30
A regionalization of the Italian territory, strictly based on seismotectonic zoning and the main geodynamic features of the Italian area, is proposed for intermediate-term earthquake prediction with C...
An integrated study of physical precursors of failure in relation to earthquake prediction, using large scale rock blocks
precursors simulation failure complex parameter prediction earthquake
2015/9/30
This paper is multi-analysis approach to rock failure using metric size rock samples. The use of large-scale models permits simulation of the seismic process (including internal rupture on several sca...
Analysis of multidimensional geophysical monitoring time series for earthquake prediction
collective behaviour spectral matrices canonical coherences
2015/9/30
A method is presented for detection of synchronous signals in multidimensional time series data. It is based on estimation of eigenvalues of spectral matrices and canonical coherences in moving time w...
Probabilistic approach to earthquake prediction
precursors earthquake forecast statistical tests paleoseismology
2015/9/25
The evaluation of any earthquake forecast hypothesis requires the application of rigorous statistical methods. It implies a univocal definition of the model characterising the concerned anomaly or pre...
Turning the rumor of the May 11, 2011, earthquake prediction in Rome, Italy, into an information day on earthquake hazard
Seismic hazard Education and outreach Seismic risk reduction
2015/8/26
A devastating earthquake was predicted to hit Rome on May 11, 2011. This prediction was never officially released, but it grew on the internet and was amplified by the media. It was erroneously ascrib...