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Skill prediction of local weather forecasts based on the ECMWF ensemble
Skill prediction local weather forecasts ECMWF ensemble
2009/11/12
Ensemble Prediction has become an essential part of numerical weather forecasting. In this paper we investigate the ability of ensemble forecasts to provide an a priori estimate of the expected foreca...
Using adjoint sensitivity as a local structure function in variational data assimilation
adjoint sensitivity local structure function variational data assimilation
2009/11/12
One approach recently proposed in order to improve the forecast of weather events, such as cyclogenesis, is to increase the number of observations in areas depending on the flow configuration. These a...
Nonlinear multivariable analysis of SOI and local precipitation and temperature
Nonlinear multivariable analysis SOI local precipitation and temperature
2009/11/9
Global climate variability affects important local hydro-meteorological variables like precipitation and temperature. The Southern Oscillation (SO) is an easily quantifiable major driving force that g...