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The na?ve Bayes approach is one of the most popular methods used for classi?cation. Nevertheless, how to test its statistical signi?cance under an ultra-high-dimensional (UHD) setup is not well unders...
Document classification is an area of great importance for which many clas-sification methods have been well developed. However, most of these methods cannot generate time-dependent classification rul...
The na?ve Bayes approach is one of the most popular methods used for classi?cation. Nevertheless, how to test its statistical signi?cance under an ultra-high-dimensional(UHD) setup is not well underst...
针对大型群组多属性决策问题, 给出了备选对象的优势集和Pareto 有效率, 并讨论了二者的性质. 证明并指 出了只有备选对象为Pareto 解时, 其Pareto 有效率才可能不为0. 将Pareto 备选对象的Pareto 有效率作为其“最优决 策”的先验概率分布, 然后利用Bayes 公式和群组专家们决策的后验概率对其加以修正, 即可得到“最优决策”概率 最大的备选对象. 该方法在充分...
We study the asymptotic behaviour of a Bayesian nonparametric test of qualitative hypotheses. More precisely, we focus on the problem of testing monotonicity of a regression function. Even if some res...
The concept of refinement from probability elicitation is considered for proper scoring rules. Taking directions from the axioms of probability, refinement is further clarified using a Hilbert space i...
Approximate Bayes Computations (ABC) are used for parameter inference when the likelihood function is expensive to evaluate but relatively cheap to sample from. In ABC,a population of particles in the...
Bayes预测和动态模型是20世纪70年代发展起来的一套新的时间序列分析方法,其中单变量Bayes正态动态线性模型(UBNDLM)在实际应用中最为常见和重要。在UBNDLM应用中,通常假定观测误差方差是未知常量,其值在建模的开始由估计给出。一般的做法是对具体的问题通过专家经验给出,并没有一个统一有效的办法。文章针对这一情形,给出了观测误差方差值一种简单易用的估计方法。同时也提供了数值试验说明新方法...
This paper presents a Bayesian approach to symbol and phase inference in a phase-unsynchronized digital receiver. It primarily extends [Quinn 2011] to the multi-symbol case, using the variational Baye...
We propose a flexible and identifiable version of the two-groups model, motivated by hierarchical Bayes considerations, that features an empirical null and a semiparametric mixture model for the non-n...
We show how to compute lower bounds for the maximum possible Bayes error if the class-conditional distributions must satisfy moment constraints. Our approach makes use of Curto and Fialkow’s solution...
We consider a binary unsupervised classi cation problem where each observation is associated with an unobserved label that we want to retrieve. More precisely, we assume that there are two groups of...
The 'standard' confidence interval for a Poisson parameter is only one of a number of estimation intervals based on the chi-square distribution that may be used in the estimation of the mean or mean r...
作为一种近似处理的工具,粗集主要用于不确定情况下的决策分析,并且不需要任何事先的数据假定。但当前的主流粗集分类方法仍然需要先经过离散化的步骤,这就损失了数值型变量提供的高质量信息。本文对隶属函数重新加以概率定义,并提出了一种基于Bayes概率边界域的粗集分类技术,比较好地解决了当前粗集方法所面临的数值型属性分类的不适应、分类规则不完备等一系列问题。
Many statistical problems involve data from thousands of parallel cases. Each case has some associated effect size, and most cases will have no effect. It is often important to estimate the effect siz...

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