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This paper proposes a structural approach to measuring the e§ects of electoral accountability. We estimate a political agency model with imperfect information in orderto identify and quantify discipli...
We construct a majority cellular automata based model to explain the power-law signatures in Indonesian general election results. The understanding of second-order phase transitions between two differ...
Persuasion: Empirical Evidence     Persuasion  Communication  Beliefs       2015/7/17
We provide a selective survey of empirical evidence on the e ects as well as the drivers of persuasive communication. We consider persuasion directed at consumers, voters, donors, and investors. We ...
We use new data on entries and exits of US daily newspapers from 1869 to 2004 to estimate effects on political participation, party vote shares, and electoral competitiveness.
Avenerable supposition of American survey research is that the vast majority of voters have incoherent and unstable preferences about political issues, which in turn have little impact on vote choic...
This article asks whether religion undermines the negative relationship between income and left voting that is assumed in standard political economy models of democracy. Analysis of cross-country su...
Purple America     Purple America  division       2015/6/8
A merica, we are told, is a nation divided. Maps of the electoral votes cast by the states in recent U.S. presidential elections reveal a striking pattern. The base of the Democratic Party is ᤙ...
The empirical literature in comparative politics holds that social cleavages affect the number of candidates or parties when electoral institutions are ‘permissive’, but it lacks a theoretical account...
Much research in political science suggests that social identity can be an important factor in motivating behavior. If voters care about social identity, when will politicians find it in their interes...
Alberto Alesina and Howard Rosenthal argue that surprise about the outcomes of US presidential elections accounts for two important features of the American political economy: the regular loss of vote...
Political betting markets featured prominently in pre-election prognostication, perhaps more so ahead of the 2013 election than for any other recent Australian election. Major newspapers such as The A...
Would the outcome of the 2008 U.S. presidential election have been different if Barack Obama had not been the Democratic nominee? In this paper we analyze 33 head-to-head matchups, some real and some ...
Despite Barack Obama’s momentum in the early phase of the Democratic nomination, the process of selecting a nominee took longer than usual. Obama’s momentum, it seems, got stuck, and the 2008 Democrat...
The Greens performed relatively well in the 2010 election, winning 11.8% of 1st preferences and--- for the first time at a general election --- one seat in the House of Representatives (Melbourne). Th...
On measuring democracy and things like that.

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