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Forecasting Equity Premium: Global Historical Average versus Local Historical Average and Constraints
Equity premium Nonparametric local historical average model Positivity con- straint Bagging
2016/1/25
The equity premium, return on equity minus return on risk-free asset, is expected to be positive. We consider imposing such positivity constraint in local historical average (LHA) in nonparametric ker...
Forecasting Equity Premium: Global Historical Average versus Local Historical Average and Constraints
Equity premium Nonparametric local historical average model Positivity con- straint Bagging Model averaging
2016/1/20
The equity premium, return on equity minus return on risk-free asset, is expected to be positive. We consider imposing such positivity constraint in local historical average (LHA) in nonparametric ker...
Corporate cash flows are highly volatile and strongly procyclical. We examine the assetpricing implications of the sensitivity of corporate cash flows to economic shocks within a
continuo...