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Forecasting Italian seismicity through a spatio-temporal physical model: importance of considering time-dependency and reliability of the forecast
spatio-temporal physical model considering time-dependency
2015/8/28
We apply here a forecasting model to the Italian region for the spatio-temporal distribution of seismicity based on a smoothing Kernel function, Coulomb stress variations, and a rate-and-state frictio...
Earthquake forecast models for Italy based on the RI algorithm
Earthquake interactions and probability Seismic risk Data processing Statistical analysis Seismological data
2015/8/28
This study provides an overview of relative-intensity (RI)-based earthquake forecast models that have been submitted for the 5-year and 10-year testing classes and the 3-month class of the Italian exp...
Setting up an earthquake forecast experiment in Italy
Italy earthquake forecast experiment
2015/8/28
We describe here the setting up of the first earthquake forecasting experiment for Italy within the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The CSEP conducts rigorous and actu...
LASSCI2009.2: layered earthquake rupture forecast model for central Italy, submitted to the CSEP project
Earthquake rupture forecast Central Italy Model validation Time-dependent seismic hazard assessment
2015/8/28
The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) selected Italy as a testing region for probabilistic earthquake forecast models in October, 2008. The model we have submitted for th...
Forecasting volcanic eruptions and other material failure phenomena: An evaluation of the failure forecast method
Forecasting volcanic eruptions other material failure phenomena failure forecast method
2014/5/19
Power‐law accelerations in the mean rate of strain,earthquakes and other precursors have been widely reported prior to material failure phenomena, including volcanic eruptions, landslides and laborato...