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Employment was underestimated in projections made in 1970, 1973, and 1976; estimates of labor force growth and unemployment turned out to be offsetting factors. The 1980 recession slightly increased t...
Evaluation of BLS projections of 1985 employment shows their sensitivity to underlying population, labor force, and productivity estimates; it also shows their accuracy is similar to past projections....
Alternative projections show a considerable range of change for the labor force, gross national product, and in employment and unemployment. Under all assumptions, job opportunities vary by industry a...
BLS projects a wide range for gross domestic product, accompanied by several key shifts in the composition of its demand components. As with prior BLS aggregate economic projections, three alternative...
The labor force of blacks, Hispanics, and Asian and other groups will expand rapidly; the share of administrative support occupations is expected to decline, as are jobs in the good-producing sector; ...
This article summarizes the methods that BLS uses to evaluate its projections of the labor force, industry employment, and occupational employment each time a target year is reached. The article outli...
Broad trends in occupational employment have been projected fairly accurately, but accuracy has not increased over time. This article discusses the changes in procedures used to develop projections ov...
Four articles provide a look at future labor force, industrial, and occupational trends, and the underlying economic assumptions.
The U.S. economy is expected to expand at a moderately strong pace over the coming decade, with restrained inflation, continuing strong productivity growth, and a labor force growing at a steady rate...

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