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Demand forecasting for companies with many branches, low sales numbers per product, and non-recurring orderings
Demand forecasting companies branches low sales numbers product non-recurring orderings
2010/12/17
We propose the new Top-Dog-Index to quantify the historic deviation of the supply data of many small branches for a commodity group from sales data. On the one hand, the common parametric assumptions ...
Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices
Forecasting Output Inflation Asset Prices
2014/3/18
Because asset prices are forward-looking, they constitute a class of potentially use-ful predictors of inflation and output growth. The premise that interest rates and asset prices contain usefu...
Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country speci&c versus area-wide information
Forecasting Aggregation Factor models
2014/3/18
This paper compares several time series methods for short-run forecasting of Euro-wide in2ation and real activity using data from 1982 to 1997. Forecasts are constructed from univariate autoregression...
This paper investigates forecasts of US in#ation at the 12-month horizon. The starting point is the conventional unemployment rate Phillips curve, which is examined in a simulated out-of-sample foreca...