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The Early History of Chance in Evolution
chance Charles Darwin evolution Francis Galton inheritance Karl Pearson natural selection statistics W.F.R. Weldon
2016/6/15
Work throughout the history and philosophy of biology frequently employs 'chance', 'unpredictability', 'probability', and many similar terms. One common way of understanding how these concepts were in...
Causality and Chance in Relativistic Quantum Field Theories
Local causality Microcausality Bell correlations Relativistic quantum field theories Pragmatist interpretation Causal intervention
2016/6/13
Bell appealed to the theory of relativity in formulating his principle of local causality. But he maintained that quantum field theories do not conform to that principle, even when their field equatio...
Nonprobabilistic chance?
probability chance propensity
2016/6/12
"Chance" crops up all over philosophy, and in many other areas. It is often assumed -- without argument -- that chances are probabilities. I explore the extent to which this assumption is really sanct...
Causation,Chance and the Rational Significance of Supernatural Evidence
Causation chance evidential decision theory causal decision theory David Lewis
2016/5/31
Newcomb problems turn on a tension between two principles of choice: roughly, a principle sensitive to the causal features of the relevant situation, and a principle sensitive only to evidential facto...
Spontaneous Symmetry Breaking and Chance
symmetry ergodicity perturbation Curie's principle
2008/4/21
In this paper I explore the nature of spontaneous symmetry breaking in connection with a cluster of interrelated concepts such as Curie's symmetry principle, chance, and stability.
The Third Way on Objective Probability: A Skeptic's Guide to Objective Chance
Probability Chance Humeanism David Lewis
2008/4/21
The goal of this paper is to sketch and defend a new interpretation or ‘theory’ of objective chance, one that lets us be sure such chances exist and shows how they can play the roles we traditionally ...
After a brief but necessary characterization of the notion of determinism, I discuss and critically evaluate four views on the relationship between determinism and free will by taking into account bot...
An essay review of Richard Johns "A Theory of Physical Probability" (University of Toronto Press, 2002).Forthcoming in Studies in History and Philosophy of Science.
CHANCE AND CHOICE
CHANCE CHOICE
2008/4/8
It's quite difficult to think of something that computers can't do with numbers, but there is one thing: computers can't produce a genuine 'random number,' like the ones you get by tossing coins or th...