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Cornell researchers have unearthed precise, microscopic clues to where magma is stored, offering scientists – and government officials in populated areas – a way to better assess the risk of volcanic ...
Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, CAS Colloquia & Seminars：How to capture tourists' search behavior in tourism forecasts？A two-stage feature selection approach
旅游预测 游客 搜索行为 两阶段 特征选择方法
2023/5/16
Search engine data have been widely used and shown to be useful in tourism demand forecasting. However, considering of the vast amounts of search keywords, how to better capture the tourists' attentio...
Improved climate resilience through better seasonal forecasts
climate change global forecasts regional level
2021/8/4
Lack of water, floods, or crop losses: As a result of climate change, pronounced periods of drought and rainfall are causing human suffering and major economic damage. Precise seasonal forecasts can h...
Calibration and quantifying uncertainty of daily water quality forecasts for large lakes with a Bayesian joint probability modelling approach
BJP large lakes water qualit
2021/7/28
Correcting the systematic bias and quantifying uncertainty associated with the operational water quality forecasts are imperative works for risk-based environmental decision making.
WMO calls for protection of radio frequencies vital to weather forecasts
Weather Forecast
2019/10/25
The World Meteorological Organization is calling on governments to protect radio frequencies allocated to Earth observation services which are vital for weather forecasts and long-term climate change ...
Facial recognition technique could improve hail forecasts（图）
Facial recognition technique improve hail forecasts
2019/10/21
The same artificial intelligence technique used in facial recognition systems could help improve prediction of hailstorms and their severity, according to a new study by scientists at the National Cen...
VERIFICATION AND VALIDATION OF DESERT DUST FORECASTS AND THEIR IMPACT ON RESPRIATORY HEALTH APPLICATIONS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
Satellite remote sensing Environmental pollution Image understanding Spatio-temporal modelling Medicine Multi-spectral remote sensing Visualization
2015/12/29
The paper describes the performance of the Dust Regional Atmospheric Model (DREAM) after being nested within the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP/eta) operational weather model. The...
CROP MODEL DATA ASSIMILATION WITH THE ENSEMBLE KALMAN FILTER FOR IMPROVING REGIONAL CROP YIELD FORECASTS
Crop model data assimilation Ensemble Kalman filter
2015/9/8
Uncertainty in spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall in regional crop yield
simulations comprises a major fraction of the error on crop model simulation results. In
this paper we used an Ens...
Simple smoothed seismicity earthquake forecasts for Italy
Smoothed seismicity Earthquake predictability Forecast optimization Area skill score
2015/8/28
Several earthquake forecast experiments in Italy have been initiated within the European testing center of the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability. In preparation for these...
Adaptively smoothed seismicity earthquake forecasts for Italy
Italy smoothed seismicity earthquake
2015/8/28
We present a model for estimation of the probabilities of future earthquakes of magnitudes m ≥ 4.95 in Italy. This model is a modified version of that proposed for California, USA, by Helmstetter et a...
Retrospective evaluation of the five-year and ten-year CSEP-Italy earthquake forecasts
Probabilistic forecasting Earthquake predictability Hypothesis testing Likelihood
2015/8/28
On August 1, 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched a prospective and comparative earthquake predictability experiment in Italy. The goal of this CSE...
Daily earthquake forecasts during the May-June 2012 Emilia earthquake sequence (northern Italy)
Operational earthquake forecast ETAS
2015/8/26
On May 20, 2012, at 02:03 UTC, a magnitude Ml 5.9 earthquake hit part of the Po Plain area (latitude, 44.89 ˚N; longitude, 11.23 ˚E) close to the village of Finale-Emilia in the Emilia-Romag...
Three-dimensional visualization of ensemble weather forecasts–Part 1:The visualization tool Met.3D (version 1.0)
Three-dimensional visualization ensemble weather visualization tool Met.3D
2015/8/6
We present "Met.3D", a new open-source tool for the interactive three-dimensional (3-D) visualization of numerical ensemble weather predictions. The tool has been developed to support weather forecast...
Three-dimensional visualization of ensemble weather forecasts–Part 2:Forecasting warm conveyor belt situations for aircraft-based field campaigns
Three-dimensional visualization ensemble weather Forecasting warm conveyor belt situations aircraft-based field campaigns
2015/8/6
We present the application of interactive three-dimensional (3-D) visualization of ensemble weather predictions to forecasting warm conveyor belt situations during aircraft-based atmospheric research ...
Coastal Forecasts and Storm Surge Predictions for Tropical Cyclones: A Timely Partnership Program
Tropical Cyclones Coastal Forecasts
2015/7/23
As more people and associated infrastructure concentrate along coastal areas, the United States is becoming more vulnerable to the impact of tropical cyclones. It is not surprising, especially after t...